YMU4- Dow - E-mini - Tuesday - 5th August

1H chart shows the true, this is  wave 4th.

YMU4- Dow - E-mini - Monday - 4th August

News (CET):

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10:24

After range breaking it can come a trend movement. The direction is questioning for me, but I give more chance to up.

10:59

Fall.

There is a possibility to turn and go up. It can remain in a wild range between 16370 and 16520. This is the bull version. There is a support line at 16370! If it break...

18:23

Turning, target 16480+.

13:15

Up, but I dont like it. If it hit 16446 it will go up, very quickly, in other case it will down new low.

13:45

LD or 12 line. First case correction will go down, second case it will go up with big momentum.

14:09

See the market! I think downward movement will start inmediatelly.

14:31

Market has stopped (range?).
Bearish SS on 1H in a good contextus on rsi, but it may be too late. Tomorrow it can bring falling.

14:41

My expectation was fals. The market has reached the target zone. It can be ED and not LD. We will see.

14:51

Bearish SS change has dead. Strong bull movement.

14:52

Top was at 16530 (see metioned at 10:59)

The best long sutiation was at 16415 (12:10-20), but that time I was to run.

Holiday

YMU4- Dow - E-mini - Tuesday - 29th July

News:

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Pre-Market expectation: Zigzag could go up yesterday. There is two way in the case of double ZZ upward movement comes, on the other falling to new low.

YMU4- Dow - E-mini - Monday - 28th July

News (CET):

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11:34

Long, stop closed. :(

16.900 resistance line!

11:46

I am hesitating. 16880 can be a local top. But there is no turning signal until now.

11:50

Turn signal, but it is bullish on '3.

11:52

It moves in parallel channel.

There is bearish slingshot chance on '30 and '10, but this is far away.
On '15 it can be finished. Interesting :)

17:57

Slingshot gives a bed RR. I should hit it at 16865, but if ZZ comes down it will be finished at 16863.

17:59

As analyser I should say short, but now I do everything as a trader.

13:43

I had a rest. I have come back. I think an impulse can go up.

14:08

In my opinion: Now, YMU4 will go to 16930 (with spike is possible higher on '3), turning and go to 16910 (with spike 16908 reacheble) and turning again and it can go up to new high under 16955 and turning to reach again 16910 or lower.

Let me see! :)

14:22

The low is at 16914 until now. But I think is not the target.

14:31

16910 has reached, spike on 16907 (my forecast was 908). Until now everything is ok. Let's see!

15:54

Low was at 16902. On '10 without spike at 16910.

YMU4- Dow - E-mini - Friday - 25th July

News:

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10:53

One minute trade:

11:34

Short again

I had a call, have no chance hit for long.

11:45

Range can come. See the chart.

12:15

I long the YM, but I closed it, because I feel I am deconcentrate, last two day, I made mistakes in this situation, I need to have a rest.

13:19

ES (SP) Fractal?

YM in the range...boring, Friday....

13:56

'30 chart shows the true! It is an impulse and only wave 4th. Now 4/b is going down. It can be dZZ and brings new low.

16:03

Bearish Slingshot on '15 and '30. Pay attetion! Good short possibility can be!

16:08

There was not enough time to wait target price. Friday I dont trade after 14:45, I like close until 14:40. The market is uncalculated in the closing section.

YMU4- Dow - E-mini - Thusday - 24th July

News:

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10:47

I am waiting, ZZ could run up, 17055 was the top of the channel of Zigzag or 1-2-1-2. Unfortunatelly news made rumpus on the chart.

YMU4- Dow - E-mini - Wendesday - 23th July

News: 10:30 - EIA Crude Oil Stocks change (Jul 18)

Pre-Market expectation: Upward movement in the first section. Impulse can go up (YMU4 ~80 points).

9:45

Today can be a bear trend day against my expectation.
Support at 16880-890.

10:11

Short:

10:37

NQ -  ES blow up. Dow is down. :)
Is this OIL news? I dont believe it.

11:58

I can not found good set up and trigger. A have a rest. My target zone on the chart, but I am not sure the turning. On '1 I see a triple zigzag or a leading diagonal. Last case target zone unreachable.

12:43

Good short situation. Going down in channel and brake down, usually it gives good profit. Now, I didnt trade it.

14:22

The same?

Dow - Today

I have a very bad trade, today. I shooted the market a very good moment and I made a mistake, I didnt closed it against some short signal. (I have two other bed trades ,Today I wasnt succesfull).

16:51

I am thinking my positions. I realized I made a forecast in afternoon (short email), I was waiting a range day to 13:00- 14.00 and after a slowly upward movement. It became too late about 14:50. I made a trend trade style in the range, big mistake, I should have realized the top of the range and pay attention the short signal on '10. It was very clear.The fact I would have closed it with profit. I focus on the triagle and more long...

See the chart:  Correction channel (red parallel channel) couldn't broke.  RSI moved to under the MA9 on '10, DeadX on '10. YM turned down from rsi bull resistance line. Short signal on '3, '5 and 10. At 17066 there was a strong resistance line. I don't understand myself what I did... A proffessional trader don't do that, so many mistakes. I have enough knowledge, I realised all problem, but too late. I am not satisfield my work today.

Elliott Wave: impulse -short A, long-long B as a double ZZ and C - small impulse at the end (not finished!)

YMU4- Dow - E-mini - Monday - 21th July

News:

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Pre-Market expectation: In the early section little upward and after downward movement can be the way of Market (upward is a possibility, but not necessary).

9:16

I am online. I have got an email quastion. The answer:

I think today YMU4 will make wave y in a douple zigzag (after y turn down) or Friday upward movement was an impulse and the market will  move down in the early section (opening with gap is possible). YM likes dZZ and the stucture on '15 is familiar to me. From the top 3 waves went down. It can be a big endig diagonal, we have to pay attention it, as well!

Daily rsi is under MA9 and it can do a hook with deadX, but today falling is needed for it. There are divergence between the last two high. 4H and 1H is neutral.

9:33

Gap and down. About 16950-45 there is a support line! And see RSI!

9:57

Support worked. Resistence line at 16990.

10:34

I made a short, but I moved the stop early.

10:40

Target: 16900 and than range until 14:00.

11:37

Low was 16908 and turn, as expected. (About 16900). I think up is an impulse. I hit it 16927 for long. I will show it, but I have been working this position. (Half of package was closed at 16937).

11:41 

I am waiting at 16961 (It can be 1-2-1-2-3-4-5).

Depend on the market I closed it lower.

11:49

If wave 5 extend 16980 reacheable!

11:59

:) extension! I am in position, yet :)

12:02

I was at 16975 to close, top was 74.

13:25

It can be ZZ, in this case target will be at 17018.

13:37

My trade:

14:22

Short, not so good, stoped closed with profit.

14:24

Too slow it will be a correction or 1-2-1-2. In this case closing price would be between 16960-980.

14:30

Top was at 16712. See 13:25. It can be turning.

14:57

Short, stop closed.

15:15 

I have finished.
Tomorrow I will work until 14:00.


16:17

Closed at 16982. See my forecast at 14:24!

YMU4- Dow - E-mini - Thursday - 17th July

News:

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Pre-Market expectation: Stong downward movement is possible in the early section (chance 55-60%)

9:41

Gap and stong downward movement, I short, but my stop closed my position (in poz.) before the hit my target price.

9:46

on 1D is bull,
on 4H is an rsi hook and bull
on 1H is an rsi hook and bull

News comes at 10:00.

on '15 deadX possibility, rsi is under MA9, corrections ?

10:00

RSI on the border of bull on '15 chart. If it step up, then there are big support from higher timeframe. It can be bull market today.

10:05

It can be an exp flat correction, again, target price 17078-82 in YMU4. The upward moving shows caracter sign of B. It will be bull trap.

10:40

New long sign, 17090-94 reachable

11:31

Short and early closing. I had a rest about 16:45, my expectation doesnt show the strong downward movement.

11:35

On '15 rsi turned from bull support line! Bull moving is supported by 1H and 4H!!!

13:49

I needed refresh myself, I went to running and after I saw the chart and realised a familiar pattern. YMU likes dZZ :). On the '2 chart I had got set up and trigger. My first plan was a contratrend trade, but dZZ is a correction pattern, therefore I focused on the changing style. Result on the chart:

14:57

I made a long, but I was not satisfied my action, therefore I moved stop quick.

15:12

Today result 5,5 R, I think is a very good result. YMU4 will go downward until closing, 19050 is reachable, but I dont want to trade, I am tired.

15:18

It has reached and fall...