YMU4 - DOW- E-mini - Tuesday - 1st July

News (CE Time, GMT+1):

For the details clikk: here

Pre - Market expectation: Stong news, big volatility in the first section. The base channel didnt broke, therefore upwards movement can be correction. It would be an A wave in three waves thus three waves downward movement is expected with a new local low (expanded flat correction). Min. target zone 16620-16650. Chance: 60%

11:09

Chanel broken!!!! Bull trend came back. It would be 1-2-1-2 line. I mentioned this possibility some days ago, but I have already no trust in. In the next 2-3 hour sideways movement can come between 16880 and 16830.

11:22

Alternative: strong bull trend continu (chance 35-40%)

11:42

Divergence on '10, but RSI too high and the trend is bull. There is a resistance at 890-912.

12:11

I was thinking about a short, but the stop place and the traget price didn't give me a good RR.

12:32

No chance of correction. After NY dinner upwards movement will continue.

13:22

Trade, good though, bad doing. Stop changed was early.

13:30

I have no trading experience in this moving. Small timaframe is uncountable, I should buy all little correction, but I think I have to put it into practise. Good timeframe chosing is very important in this case.

YMU4 - E-mini - Dow - Monday - 30th June

My analyses base on Elliott Wave Principle, but I dont count it on the chart, because I believe it is not important for my trading. I see the chart and it is on my mind (number, count, target zone).

News (CE Time!):

For the details clikk here.

Pre -Market expectation: Upwards movement to the target zone, see the Friday last chart. It can reach the zone in the first Hour. After that downward movement is possible. I believe it would be a Zigzag. Chance: 70%.

If the price action breaks the base chanel strong bull trend can start. Chance: 30%.

9:35

Open, unexpected downward movement, it was too early or the timeframe, which I used, was small, because the weekend could make suprise. (This is the first 10 minutes, we have to wait)

10:04

Long
Style: Contratrend trade: 16752 long 10:02 (16:02 CET), stop 16742, LMT 16762, closed 10:03 (16:03 CET).

Without LMT order I would wait and close only half of my position. (mixed style), but there was news!I have no other possibilities, in this case I need LMT order...

10:18

Closing was early, but I have no chance to move up my LMT (from 62), because I moved my stop at first (16754). This trade was only 45 second (LOL). See the picture (It shows Central Europen Time), It was not my test account, it is my profit:

10:28

I am thinking about short, but news will arrive in two minutes, I do nothing. (Short 68, stop 78, target 58, style contrat. trade).

10:35

10:37

Bearish slingshot on '10 chart! It support my short thought.

10:39

I didnt trade it remain a though! (News was 10:30!)

10:44

10:46

Need a good stop place and pay attention to the chanel broken.

10:53

Chanel is broken, but there is no momentum enough.

11:04

I deleted the target zone, but the depth of the zone could be reached.

11:07

In a close futures correction can start (16715-25 to 16760-70) -  until 20.30 (CET).

11:11

There is a bullish sling possibility on '10.

11:12

Can got trigger in 2 minutes on '3 charts

11:22

Sling :)

11:25

Sideways target zone has reached. Too early something can be worst in my expectation. I am hesiteting, It can be an ED, position of C, or turn in a close futures...

YMU4 wants to reach pre-market expectation zone at 16800?

11:39

Turn from 16773 ('3 without spike), I think it has been the target zone yet, and FIBO 78. Let me see what happen!

11:46

I have a rest...

Sideways movement can come in this area in the next 10-15 minutes:

12:37

Sideways, untradeable moving....

It remains in the zone in the next half or one Hour.

See mention at 11:07.

12:40

I am sure new daily low or high will be (but I dont know which one).

12:44

Triangle? I dont believe, it should brake the chanel in 2-3 bars. Triagle chance 40%.

12:55

In the next Hour tradeable moving will start.

13:04

Bull Trap?

13:06

World Cup is boring, like the market.

France : Nigeria 0:0

13:12

NQU4!

13:17

Comment in the chart (NQ and YM)

13:54

Small bull trap, until now :)

14:05

Some bull signal came up, there is on the border!

14:07

14:09

I think it will be fals. Waiting.

14:25

In a bull case target zone will be 16790-16800.

14:30

Correct expectation, but I am not happy, I made only one trade.

"11:07

In a close futures correction can start (16715-25 to 16760-70) -  until 20.30 (CET)."

15:04

I am tired, the day was too long. I saw the deadX on '3, but I have not courage enough, because resistance was 747-750 and the Risk Reward relation was not so good. On the '10 chart there was a bullish sling possibility. 

NQ ED now:

15:44

There was some short signal, but there is too late, I did nothing. While I am writing it fall.

15:46

NQU4!!! 

I am not trade, the expectation was good enough.

In the closing method (last '30 min.) my analyses system not functioning. During this time the market has a big volatility.

YMU4 - Dow - E-mini - Friday

News. There is no news today.

Expectation: Correction, a-b-c waves to down.

10:14

Target will be at 16700 or at 16885 as 2 and after reaching will go up, as impulse 3 on '15.

10:16

Too quick, I am hesitating, the correction usually slow, not quick.

11:58

Trade, I did not it on the test account.

12:17

Trade, I did not it on the test account. LMT was at 16726, 2 points was needed.

12:23

I dont know what happend the stop didnt close the position. I close it manual at 16736.

13:09

It is a realy possibility.

ED, as b of B

13:53

I buy (ED, but the stop closed)

I hit the market, see the chart!

I think it is not the last wave to down 16685 is reachable. I show this zone and I short for this zone, but I have no patient enough! See 10:14 mentionde and the chart at 11:58.

I made a mistake, close was at 16687 (LMT 2), not 97. Sorry.

14:22

Bull market came back. Monday  (or Thuesday) YMU4 min target price 16800, see the chart.  Now (Friday evening CET) correction is needed in a close futures. YMU4 can reach 700-710 zone today or Monday.

14:32

Short, mistake, the stop down too early.

14:37

16726 was the low.

Target 16750, now.

14:48

Friday, after 14:00 the market starting the weekend. 16750 unreachable.

15:04

Bull 1-2-1-2 can be finished.Monday strong bull trend will be.

15:33

Suprise, 3/3 can be started

16:51

See chart 14:22! The market so quick, Monday target zone will reach in 5 waves. In this case the waves from 16660 can be a Zigzag.

Chart 14.22:

Daily Summary

I have to develop my trading skills, believe my analyses and dont be afraid of risk. Short would be very good, because it reached the target price 16690-85 zone (I opened at 16742. first package was closed at 16732, therefore I would be wait without risk with the staring stop.)

YMU4- Dow - E-mini - Thursday

News (Central European Time):

Pre-market expectation:  Gap and bull market. Chance: 65-70%

9:39

The market shows the other way.... new low comes

9:45

Short 15:41 16741, stop 16751, target min. 16720, style: trend trade

Stop down 15:43 17736, closed 15:44  brrrr.....

12:56

Triagle? May be! But I believe short.

Long stop limit: 16718, stop 16706, target 16740 Style: trend trade
Short stop limit: 16699, stop 16711, target 16680 Style: trend trade, target

Only it is on my test account! Dont follow me!!!!

13:00

Short activated! (Long deleted)

13.10

Stop closed!

13.25

I opend a long (2 contract), 13:24 closed one at 730, stop 16725 the other from 710.

13.28

stop 740

13.30

Stop 16744

13.34

close 16747

I thing early! But I have a dinner and the high is not far away.

13.40

I have right, I closed at a buy singal, not to sell or close.

Bull trend comes back, I think, C target 16660 has reached.

20.00 (CET, NYT +6)

Short! Trade style: Contratrend trade.

20.03

I try it close, quickly, because rsi is bull, the trend is stong and expanded flat is possible, my stop is under its target price.

20.10

Stop 760

20.10

close 756

20.15

Dont follow me! I am playing without startegy, only fun, based on my knowledge on Elliott.

Contratrend trade, long 16754, stop 16744, target 16764.

20.26

Stop 747

20.30

Stop 755 (+)

20.31

Stop closed, (bad place) 

20.41

Long 756, stop 48, min target 66, Styled: mixed stategy. Dont follow me, I have just played on my test account.

20.54

Stop 752

20.41

Stop closed 21:02

21:06

Bad stop place, again.

21:08

Long 16769, stop 756

21:39

765 closed