YMU4 - E-mini - Dow - Monday - 30th June

My analyses base on Elliott Wave Principle, but I dont count it on the chart, because I believe it is not important for my trading. I see the chart and it is on my mind (number, count, target zone).

News (CE Time!):

For the details clikk here.

Pre -Market expectation: Upwards movement to the target zone, see the Friday last chart. It can reach the zone in the first Hour. After that downward movement is possible. I believe it would be a Zigzag. Chance: 70%.

If the price action breaks the base chanel strong bull trend can start. Chance: 30%.

9:35

Open, unexpected downward movement, it was too early or the timeframe, which I used, was small, because the weekend could make suprise. (This is the first 10 minutes, we have to wait)

10:04

Long
Style: Contratrend trade: 16752 long 10:02 (16:02 CET), stop 16742, LMT 16762, closed 10:03 (16:03 CET).

Without LMT order I would wait and close only half of my position. (mixed style), but there was news!I have no other possibilities, in this case I need LMT order...

10:18

Closing was early, but I have no chance to move up my LMT (from 62), because I moved my stop at first (16754). This trade was only 45 second (LOL). See the picture (It shows Central Europen Time), It was not my test account, it is my profit:

10:28

I am thinking about short, but news will arrive in two minutes, I do nothing. (Short 68, stop 78, target 58, style contrat. trade).

10:35

10:37

Bearish slingshot on '10 chart! It support my short thought.

10:39

I didnt trade it remain a though! (News was 10:30!)

10:44

10:46

Need a good stop place and pay attention to the chanel broken.

10:53

Chanel is broken, but there is no momentum enough.

11:04

I deleted the target zone, but the depth of the zone could be reached.

11:07

In a close futures correction can start (16715-25 to 16760-70) -  until 20.30 (CET).

11:11

There is a bullish sling possibility on '10.

11:12

Can got trigger in 2 minutes on '3 charts

11:22

Sling :)

11:25

Sideways target zone has reached. Too early something can be worst in my expectation. I am hesiteting, It can be an ED, position of C, or turn in a close futures...

YMU4 wants to reach pre-market expectation zone at 16800?

11:39

Turn from 16773 ('3 without spike), I think it has been the target zone yet, and FIBO 78. Let me see what happen!

11:46

I have a rest...

Sideways movement can come in this area in the next 10-15 minutes:

12:37

Sideways, untradeable moving....

It remains in the zone in the next half or one Hour.

See mention at 11:07.

12:40

I am sure new daily low or high will be (but I dont know which one).

12:44

Triangle? I dont believe, it should brake the chanel in 2-3 bars. Triagle chance 40%.

12:55

In the next Hour tradeable moving will start.

13:04

Bull Trap?

13:06

World Cup is boring, like the market.

France : Nigeria 0:0

13:12

NQU4!

13:17

Comment in the chart (NQ and YM)

13:54

Small bull trap, until now :)

14:05

Some bull signal came up, there is on the border!

14:07

14:09

I think it will be fals. Waiting.

14:25

In a bull case target zone will be 16790-16800.

14:30

Correct expectation, but I am not happy, I made only one trade.

"11:07

In a close futures correction can start (16715-25 to 16760-70) -  until 20.30 (CET)."

15:04

I am tired, the day was too long. I saw the deadX on '3, but I have not courage enough, because resistance was 747-750 and the Risk Reward relation was not so good. On the '10 chart there was a bullish sling possibility. 

NQ ED now:

15:44

There was some short signal, but there is too late, I did nothing. While I am writing it fall.

15:46

NQU4!!! 

I am not trade, the expectation was good enough.

In the closing method (last '30 min.) my analyses system not functioning. During this time the market has a big volatility.